In physics, there’s a well-known issue with Newton’s Laws of Motion. His formulae are perfect for calculating the effects of gravity between two distinct objects but face a challenge when a third object is introduced. Suddenly the simplicity of the mathematics breaks down and it becomes necessary to compare the interaction between two of the three and repeat for each permutation to truly understand the dynamics of the system as a whole.
Surprisingly, this also describes the challenge faced by the political Right in America at present. The Right is caught in its own gravitational struggle, and the stakes are high.
The Right is essentially composed of three distinct “bodies,” or factions:
- “America First.” Formerly known as “MAGA” and even more formerly known as the Tea-Party. This is a very large group of people on the Right that largely support Donald Trump, although many would say that their philosophies pre-dated and will live beyond a Trump presidency.
- “The Establishment.” Really the stereotype Republican. Corporatists and power brokers that listen to yacht rock while they run their hedge funds remotely. In the halls of government these are the “go along to get along” people. They consider principle to be a liability in politics, and that all that matters is winning the next election to maintain power.
- “Conservatives.” Yes, I really do consider them separate from the other groups. Conservatism is based on issues more than doctrine. And those issues rest on four pillars: Economic Issues, Social Issues, Foreign Affairs, and National Security. And a person may self-describe as conservative simply because of a stance they hold on issues rather than belonging to one of the other two groups.
These three “bodies” are locked in a struggle for the soul of the Right as you read this. And just like the workaround for the Newtonian problem, the best way to analyze this system is to take them two at at time.
Conservatives and The Establishment
The Establishment ignores Conservatives for the most part. Conservatives are the loudest voices decrying deficit spending, gun laws, gay marriage, you name it. Therefore Conservatives make the Right look bad in the media. The Establishment spends all their time in the media in order to accomplish their goals so they are compelled to dismiss Conservatives at every opportunity, even those in their caucus.
Conservatives and America First
Because MAGA and Conservatives usually agree on the issues, Conservatives are often drawn into the controversies that MAGA has zeal for. Conservatives often find themselves therefore defending MAGA or in extreme cases defending Trump himself because they feel it’s necessary to not let the issue die with the disease, if you will. Conservatives are mainly embarrassed by MAGA, but can’t deny that the fate of both groups is likely intertwined. MAGA, on the other hand, sees Conservatives as cousins that “get it but don’t get it.” That they don’t fully comprehend the magnitude of the danger the nation faces and there’s little time left.
America First and The Establishment
Oh, boy. I could write many posts on this. Whereas The Establishment merely ridicules and ignores Conservatives, it takes out the long knives for MAGA. This is well-documented throughout the Trump presidency when the GOP essentially couldn’t be bothered to support him during his presidency and had to be guilted into simple things like protecting him during two impeachments. The Establishment uses their disgust with MAGA to improve their standing with the media, which as previously stated is the means to their ultimate end. MAGA reviles The Establishment. Terms like “RINO” (Republican In Name Only) are most frequently used in their descriptions. They see The Establishment as Judas selling out the cause for a bag of silver. And they have committed themselves to the destruction of their power base in DC.
As you can see, it’s a tough time for the Right at present. In an odd way it reminds me of religious schisms that have happened throughout history. Each faction claiming that they represent the true faith, when in truth perhaps none of them do anymore.
One thing that’s changed however is that now our family “squabble” has gone from a private one to a public one. The January 6 “commission” and their GOP enablers have declared open war on MAGA. And Conservatives are now forced to choose a course of action. Do we protect the “family?” Or, do we stand back and let our cousins kick the shit out of each other?
And what do we do about the political fallout? The enemies of the Right aren’t just going to spectate from the cheap seats. They’re going to plunder the political carcasses one by one. History has shown that the best time to destroy a nation is while it’s in the midst of a crisis. Why wouldn’t the same be true for a political philosophy?
In truth, the only option for Conservatives at this point is to stand up for Conservatism itself. Talk issues. Discuss the fundamentals of the relationship between the government and the governed. Engage on the subject of “Equality” versus “Equity.” Keep trying to advance the ball down the field while the Zealots and the Pharisees battle over who’s more virtuous towards the faith.
The Soul of the Right is indeed up for grabs. But like with gravity the effects will be felt beyond the system itself. Will the Right be able to reach equilibrium? Or will the wedge between them grow worse with time? It’s hard to say. The beliefs we share are dwarfed by our choice of methods. And that in the end may spell the end.
Or, it could help give birth to a true third party for the first time in a long time in America. I’ll write about that some other time…
